England or Spain? Sutton's Euro 2024 final prediction

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Sutton's predictions

There is conscionable 1 much crippled to go, but will Euro 2024 extremity pinch glory for England aliases Spain?

BBC Sport shot master Chris Sutton faltered successful nan semi-finals erstwhile France - his pre-tournament prime to triumph nan tourney - were beaten by Spain.

Still, he correctly predicted England would get past nan Netherlands, and moreover sewage nan 2-1 scoreline correct too.

You did moreover better, pinch 75% of you correctly backing Spain, while 63% of you went pinch England to hit nan Dutch.

That intends you person sewage a occurrence complaint of 52% overall, aft getting a full of 28 predictions correct from nan 50 games played successful Germany truthful acold - 1 much than Sutton has managed.

Can you seal your triumph successful nan final? You tin make your prediction below.

FINAL

SUNDAY, 14 JULY

Berlin, 20:00 BST

Gareth Southgate has done good to get England to nan final, and he deserves a batch of praise.

I really thought their semi-final triumph complete nan Netherlands was England's champion show truthful far. They really impressed maine successful nan first half, erstwhile they took power of nan game.

It was still a far-from-perfect performance, but Southgate's substitutions came disconnected pinch Cole Palmer playing successful Ollie Watkins for nan winner.

Harry Kane is nan tournament's joint-leading scorer now pinch 3 goals but he is not really 1 who runs successful behind.

Watkins is simply a spot much move and offers a different benignant of threat.

There is simply a disapproval of England astatine this tourney that they haven't stretched guidance backlines enough. You ever request group making movements successful behind, and Watkins gives them that.

Kane is different successful that he is simply a cardinal striker and you person to create opportunities for him. In and astir nan box, he is devastating, but nan onus past has been connected Bukayo Saka aliases Jude Bellingham to tally successful behind.

That has not happened very often, and it intends England person been predictable to play against.

Having said each of that, I deliberation it is simply a monolithic positive for Southgate that he has these different types of players who tin impact games successful different ways.

I look astatine their extent up beforehand very overmuch arsenic a positive, alternatively than a instrumentality to deed Kane with. I don't deliberation Watkins will commencement nan final, I americium beautiful judge of that, but location is still ever that action of bringing him on.

It is nan aforesaid pinch Palmer too. I person been banging connected each tourney astir him deserving a starting place, which he hasn't had yet, but he has still been coming connected and affecting games.

Media caption,

Watkins scores precocious semi-final victor for England

Spain are a trial connected a different scale

As I say, England person done good to get to this final, but this is simply a trial connected a wholly different scale.

I person covered Spain galore times astatine these Euros and they person been nan outstanding broadside astatine this tournament.

They are a squad that person this awesome expertise to triumph games successful different ways. Spain are traditionally a broadside who power possession but, while they tin still do that and beryllium ascendant pinch nan ball, they are besides devastating without seeing overmuch of it.

Everyone talks astir their young wingers, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, for evident reasons, but they are beardown beautiful overmuch everyplace you look.

Spain will person right-back Dani Carvajal backmost from suspension and must determine whether to callback Robin le Normand complete Nacho astatine centre-back aft his ban.

So, arsenic good arsenic nan champion 2 wide players, they are particularly coagulated successful nan mediate of nan park, pinch nan champion midfield successful nan tournament. On apical of that, pinch only 3 goals conceded successful six games, they person sewage nan champion defence too.

Alvaro Morata useful difficult up beforehand but I'd opportunity that's nan only area wherever you could opportunity they don't person an outstanding player.

Mind you, location person not been immoderate really outstanding centre-forwards astatine this tournament. Maybe this is nan crippled wherever Morata aliases Kane really travel to nan fore?

Media caption,

Yamal scores 'unbelievable' equaliser for Spain

Can Saka expose Cucurella?

Spain's spot is successful midfield pinch Rodri, who everyone views arsenic nan champion number six - aliases holding midfielder, successful nan world. He has been his accustomed aforesaid but, alongside him, Fabian Ruiz has this marvellous wont of drifting into nan container precocious to get connected nan extremity of chances, and England will person to watch retired for that.

Dani Olmo, who plays arsenic a number 10, besides drifts but he will tally successful down too. He only sewage his opportunity because Pedri was injured but pinch 3 goals and 2 assists he has been connected fire.

Lamal scored a superb extremity against France, while Williams has been nan astir breathtaking attacking subordinate astatine nan tournament.

It is going to beryllium difficult for England to support each of them quiet, because Spain tin play done you, and they tin play complete you too.

While England were rather rightly praised for their capacity against nan Netherlands, they are going to person to spell up different level aliases 2 to travel retired connected apical here.

England's champion chance is astir apt if they tin get Saka one-on-one pinch Marc Cucurella - Spain's left-back - because he tin origin him each sorts of problems.

That's not because I deliberation Cucurella is simply a mediocre player, by nan way, much because I don't spot immoderate weaknesses successful immoderate different areas of nan Spain team.

Media caption,

Saka equalises for England

The verdict?

Spain's players are truthful game-aware, they publication what is happening truthful well.

So astatine times they will property high, different times they will driblet deep, enactment constrictive and artifact nan pockets of abstraction that Phil Foden recovered against nan Dutch.

Then each of a sudden, erstwhile they triumph nan shot back, successful nan abstraction of 1 aliases 2 passes, they will ever person those runners successful behind.

Williams' conflict pinch Kyle Walker is going to beryllium worthy watching, but that is conscionable 1 of nan individual duels that will determine nan outcome.

England are a bits-and-pieces team, successful that they person recovered moments that matter alternatively than produced sustained patterns of play.

I person very small uncertainty successful my mind that Spain will beryllium nan amended squad and we will spot clear patterns of play from them, but England person sewage to do what they person done each tourney - they person not ever been nan champion squad successful nan games they person won.

Southgate's broadside are increasing successful confidence, positive they person togetherness and individual players who tin wounded Spain, but I don't deliberation it will beryllium enough.

Nothing would please maine much than seeing England get complete nan statement and for Southgate to alert location arsenic a European champion, but I person not been backing them blindly passim and I americium not going to commencement now.

I americium going pinch Spain to win, because they are successful sync, they person been truthful superior truthful far… and I don’t spot England stopping them.

Sutton’s prediction: Spain 2-1 England

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Source Sport BBC
Sport BBC