Juneau’s Mendenhall Lake and River may see flooding soon

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a screenshotAn image from nan Suicide Basin monitoring page connected nan greeting of Aug. 1, 2024. (Screenshot from YouTube)

The National Weather Service successful Juneau has issued a typical upwind statement indicating that h2o levels person started to driblet successful Suicide Basin, a glacial reservoir that’s dammed by nan Mendenhall Glacier.

Hydrologists and meteorologists who are monitoring basin activity judge this driblet was caused by h2o spilling complete nan apical of nan crystal dam. Cameras and h2o gauges deployed to show nan basin alerted them that h2o levels started dropping connected Wednesday evening.

That doesn’t needfully bespeak that nan basin is draining yet, but residents on nan Mendenhall Lake and River should statesman to hole for flooding. 

Last year’s glacial outburst flood in Juneau was catastrophic. Water collapsed nan banks of nan Mendenhall River and surged into Scott and Sarah Louise Griffith’s vicinity connected Meander Way. Like galore residents successful nan area, they were caught disconnected guard.

“We conscionable hadn’t knowledgeable thing for illustration that, and past it was excessively late,” said Scott Griffith. “Like by nan clip it was 4 aliases 5 feet of h2o successful nan cul-des-sac we were stuck here.”

Glacial outburst flooding is an yearly occurrence successful Juneau. Suicide Basin, a glacial reservoir dammed by nan Mendenhall Glacier, fills pinch rainfall and meltwater each year. Then it yet drains into nan Mendenhall Lake and River.

The National Water Service forecasts this flooding, but past twelvemonth their predictions were off. 

“That was 1 of nan astir frustrating parts for maine past year, origin you would look astatine your telephone and it was ohio it is going to highest astatine 12. Then oh, it’s going to highest astatine 13,” Scott Griffith said. “The highest prediction conscionable kept going up and up.”

Flood waters yet peaked astatine 15 feet. In low-lying neighborhoods for illustration Griffith’s, a batch of houses were damaged by opinionated water. Just upstream, terrible erosion of nan riverbank undermined galore homes, causing 2 to illness into nan river.

This year, for illustration past year, nan basin is full. Hydrologist Aaron Jacobs will beryllium keeping a adjacent oculus connected it. 

“Once we do spot h2o deed Mendenhall Lake, pinch nan USGS reservoir gauge, we will astir apt beryllium issuing a flood warning,” said hydrologist Aaron Jacobs.

Forecasters person a bully thought of how overmuch h2o is successful nan basin. The problem is, they don’t cognize really overmuch h2o will drain. Jacobs says nan basin typically does not drain each nan way. 

“But past year, nan basin wanted to propulsion a curveball astatine america and decided to merchandise each nan water,” Jacobs said. 

That’s changed nan measurement nan National Weather Service does their forecasts. This year, they will see a worst lawsuit scenario, to show really precocious nan stream will emergence if nan basin drains each astatine once. 

“Could that hap again this year? Yes,” Jacobs said.

But location will beryllium a batch of uncertainty until nan drainage starts. Last year, it took 6 days from nan clip nan basin filled up for nan flooding to begin. 

This July was particularly rainy, truthful nan Mendenhall River is moving somewhat higher than it was this clip past year. But dissimilar past year, ample portions of nan riverbank are now lined pinch riprap. 

At the Riverside Condominiums, there’s astir 50 feet of tightly packed gravel betwixt nan stream and nan condo buildings, on pinch a statement of monolithic boulders connected nan bank. It’s a manmade replacement for nan onshore that was washed distant during nan flood. 

Homeowner’s Association Vice President Mark Kissel says residents judge it will clasp up erstwhile nan h2o rises again this year. 

“We’re connected terra firma astatine slightest arsenic agelong arsenic nan glacier permits it,” he said.  “We’ve,  I think, astir apt done nan champion that anybody could nether nan circumstances. And we’re very hopeful.”

a mapThe National Weather Service and partners improved flood mapping pursuing 2023’s grounds glacial outburst flood. (Screenshot from water.noaa.gov)

Back connected Meander Way, nan Griffiths person besides armored their riverbank. Sarah Louise says they person an removal scheme too.

“I deliberation I’m a small much anxious astir it,” she said. So arsenic soon arsenic nan basin releases, for maine I’ll beryllium moving everything upstairs, up to a higher level, commencement moving immoderate of our cars out. And luckily we person a spot we tin spell pinch us, our 2 kids, our cats and our puppy.”

People tin study much astir this year’s imaginable flood impacts connected the National Weather Service webpage. Scrolling down to nan “Gauge Location” conception and selecting “Activate MNDA2 FIM Gauge” creates a representation of areas successful nan Mendenhall Valley that mightiness acquisition flooding.

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Source Alaska Public
Alaska Public