Premier League predictions 2024-25: BBC Sport pundits pick their top four

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BBC Sport Premier League Predictions

Chris Bevan

BBC Sport journalist

Manchester City are enjoying an unprecedented play of dominance, but really agelong will it last?

Pep Guardiola's broadside person already go nan first squad successful nan 136-year history of English convention shot to beryllium crowned top-flight champions 4 years running, and now City's target is to widen that grounds to 5 successful a row.

The situation for everyone other is to extremity them. Arsenal took nan Premier League title title to nan last time successful May, but tin they return nan adjacent measurement this time, and who other will fig astatine nan top?

We asked 30 BBC TV and power pundits to prime their apical four, pinch explanations for their selections.

These predictions were made connected nan ground of really each squad shaped up connected Thursday, 15 August, pinch much than 2 weeks to spell until nan transportation model shuts astatine 23:00 BST connected 30 August.

Nine teams characteristic successful nan forecasted apical fours, but only Manchester City and Arsenal characteristic successful each 30.

Overall predicted ranking, utilizing each 30 BBC predictions is:

  1. Manchester City (108 points)

  2. Arsenal (99)

  3. Liverpool (54)

  4. Tottenham (12)

  5. Manchester United (8)

  6. Newcastle (8)

  7. Chelsea (8)

  8. Aston Villa (2)

  9. West Ham (1)

(Using a strategy of 4 points for a first place, 3 points for second, 2 points for 3rd and 1 constituent for fourth. When points are tied, position is successful bid of nan highest individual prediction for each team.)

Manchester City - 'When nan going gets tough, they look to thrive'

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Man City: Pep Guardiola says broadside person done thing unbelievable

City person now been nan BBC pundits' pre-season favourites successful 8 of nan 9 seasons since Pep Guardiola took complaint successful 2016, but only 63% (19/30) deliberation they will beryllium champions again, compared pinch 96% (26/27) past season.

Chris Waddle: Four successful a statement was unbelievable and 5 would beryllium perfectly incredible. They are a awesome squad but I americium not judge moreover City tin do that.

Jermaine Jenas: These players person achieved everything location is to do successful nan game, and Pep still manages to get each ounce retired of them. They will beryllium location until nan end, but it mightiness conscionable beryllium 1 twelvemonth excessively many.

Chris Sutton: Psychologically, City look to person this separator which has been built up complete nan past fewer years where, erstwhile nan going gets tough, they look to thrive connected it.

Danny Murphy: They person nan super-confidence and acquisition now of getting complete nan line, which gives you a caput start.

Steve Sidwell: City person nan hunger and desire to spell again, not only wrong nan squad but pinch nan head too. I judge they will beryllium relentless this season.

Anita Asante: They are an unstoppable and unflappable force.

Troy Deeney: They are still favourites because they person not mislaid anything. They person sold Julian Alvarez but he was not a starter aliases main man for them.

Glenn Murray: I felt for illustration Alvarez was reliable and picked up a batch of slack for Erling Haaland erstwhile he wasn't playing good aliases scoring. He gave City added firepower and, without him, I americium reasoning who is going to do that job? In erstwhile seasons, earlier Haaland joined, Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez stepped up but it is asking a batch for Bernardo Silva and Jeremy Doku to supply those other goals.

Sue Smith: We've seen it earlier wherever they suffer a cardinal subordinate but Pep ever finds a way, either bringing personification successful aliases utilizing personification who is already there.

Danny Murphy: They person still sewage their champion players, person already bought successful Savinho, who looked lively successful nan Community Shield, and they are besides apt to motion 1 aliases 2 much earlier nan transportation model shuts.

Also, it looks for illustration we are seeing nan emergence of different superstar successful Oscar Bobb. He is simply a wonderfully talented left-footed guardant who is speedy and tin hit people. He is going to get a batch much crippled clip this play erstwhile he is back from injury.

Media caption,

Man City hit Man Utd connected penalties to triumph Community Shield

Michael Brown: City person sewage to beryllium observant astir really they get done nan first fewer weeks, because a batch of their players person not really had a pre-season. I americium besides a spot concerned astir Rodri's fitness, and they are amended disconnected waiting until everyone is fresh alternatively than risking injuries. The Chelsea crippled connected Sunday is going to beryllium difficult because of that, but conclusion would not beryllium a disaster. Even if they started connected -3 points, it wouldn't beryllium nan extremity of nan world.

Leon Osman: City finishing 2nd is simply a connection that doesn't look to fresh right. They will support their standards, but pinch nary screen arsenic things guidelines for nan superb Rodri, and a reliance connected him to play each their games, that whitethorn return its toll.

Nedum Onuoha: They will still beryllium conscionable arsenic bully but done nan play they will person questions that request to beryllium answered astir Kevin de Bruyne and Ederson's futures then, astatine nan extremity of it, Pep Guardiola - does he enactment aliases does he go?

Paul Robinson: With Pep successful charge, City are going to beryllium difficult to topple, but it could beryllium a clip of alteration astatine nan nine successful nan adjacent 12 months. Even if Arsenal don't triumph it this season, they look for illustration they are going to beryllium beardown for years to come.

Arsenal - 'Settled, powerful and primed to return nan adjacent step'

Media caption,

Breaking each grounds has not been capable - Arteta

Last year, only 1 pundit (Ellen White) thought Arsenal would triumph nan league, and they took nan title title to nan last day. This time, 37% (11/30) deliberation they will beryllium champions for nan first clip since 2004.

Ellen White: I americium sticking pinch Arsenal, who went truthful adjacent past time. Fine margins decided that title title and it will beryllium nan aforesaid again this season, but this clip they will get complete nan line.

Jermaine Jenas: Last play was a monolithic measurement successful nan correct direction, and they will person learned a batch from going nan region for nan first time. After they faded successful 2022-23, location was only 1 game, at location to Villa, that costs them successful nan run-in, and nan measurement they vanished nan play truthful powerfully is simply a bully denotation that this squad is primed and fresh now, connected apical of nan hunger they already had.

Chris Sutton: I've not seen thing to propose it will beryllium 3rd clip fortunate for Arsenal successful nan title race. They sewage a batch of praise for measurement they went to Etihad Stadium successful March and put connected a really bully rearguard action against Manchester City, but you look astatine really nan array ended up and deliberation they mightiness person to spell backmost to being braver against them adjacent time. I still deliberation they will travel 2nd though.

Anita Asante: As good arsenic their squad protect record, it was that coagulated centre-back business betwixt Gabriel and William Saliba that kept them successful contention past time. Whether they tin spell from title contenders to title winners will beryllium wished by whether they tin unafraid a top-class finisher this season.

Karen Bardsley: Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard, Bukayo Saka and Ben White will beryllium breathtaking and create tons of chances. Additionally, Riccardo Calafiori, erstwhile he features, will measurement guardant and adhd an other number into midfield. I americium expecting much elasticity successful action and tactical attack from Mikel Arteta this season.

Media caption,

Arsenal is nan 'best task for me' - caller signing Calafiori

Danny Murphy: Arsenal look really settled, they are powerful and they person a superb protect set-up that has been improved further by Calafiori. They needed him because Gabriel and Saliba sewage done past play without being injured, which is very unusual. I americium perfectly definite of Calafiori's value too, because I person seen him play unrecorded doubly and he was superb each time.

Paul Robinson: As good arsenic bringing successful Calafiori, having Jurrien Timber backmost from semipermanent wounded is for illustration different caller signing arsenic well.

Glenn Murray: They mightiness conscionable person nan separator connected momentum. City person not gone backwards, but Arsenal person improved again.

Nedum Onuoha: Arsenal look to get amended each twelvemonth pinch nan young players they have, and a youngish manager, and I don't spot this being nan play wherever they plateau.

Matt Upson: A batch of their players person had a mates of seasons of emotion and seeing what it takes to triumph nan title, positive it is going to beryllium highly difficult for City to enactment astatine nan apical for yet different year. That each comes into my reasoning of why Arsenal are going to do it this time.

Liverpool - 'A well-balanced squad moreover without immoderate caller faces'

Media caption,

Liverpool: Standards are really precocious erstwhile it comes to caller players - Slot

Only 1 pundit (Shay Given) thought Liverpool would make nan apical 2 past play - they vanished third. This time, 2 pundits deliberation they will beryllium runners-up, retired of a full of 27/30 who deliberation they will make nan apical four.

Chris Waddle: The title title is betwixt Manchester City and Arsenal, no-one else.

Nedum Onuoha: It's going to beryllium adjacent again betwixt City, Arsenal and Liverpool.

Jermaine Jenas: It was April earlier Liverpool fell disconnected nan gait past play and I consciousness for illustration they will spell nan region again. It was a weird play for them because they missed a bucketload of chances, particularly successful games wherever it really mattered. That won't support happening pinch nan value they have. The apical 3 is going to beryllium very tight, and they will beryllium correct successful among it, though I do person them down arsenic third.

Leon Osman: Liverpool are nan earthy prime for 3rd but who knows what effect Jurgen Klopp's exit will have?

Pat Nevin: It is conscionable a complete conjecture pinch them now, but I americium reasoning they will request different twelvemonth nether Arne Slot to make nan apical four.

Danny Murphy: It is going to beryllium absorbing and location are a fewer unknowns, but what Slot has decidedly sewage is simply a very well-balanced squad, wherever this deficiency of spending aliases immoderate caller players coming successful truthful acold is not a immense concern. There whitethorn beryllium immoderate hiccups on nan measurement but they are still nan astir apt to get adjacent nan beforehand 2 pinch nan firepower they person got.

Matt Upson: They person sewage immoderate superb young talent that practically won them nan Carabao Cup past season. Martin Zubimendi said no, but evidently tons could hap betwixt now and nan extremity of nan transportation window.

Joe Hart: It won't beryllium easy but things will travel together for Liverpool. Slot mightiness springiness them that benignant of new-coach jolt, and I would ideate they will bring immoderate players in.

Stephen Warnock: I americium giving 2nd spot to Liverpool this time. I conscionable deliberation a caller sound successful nan dressing room, and caller ideas, will beryllium a affirmative thing. From what I've seen of them complete pre-season, I deliberation they are going to person much power of games and play very likewise to Manchester City and Arsenal successful nan measurement their style is going to beryllium much possession based. Because of that, I don't deliberation Liverpool are going to tally retired of steam arsenic quickly.

Tottenham - 'It is ever a rollercoaster for them'

No-one picked Tottenham to make nan apical 4 past play - they vanished fifth. This time, 37% (11/30) deliberation they will make it.

Leon Osman: Tottenham should amended truthful whitethorn spell adjacent but they could do pinch 1 much accelerated centre-back, and it is ever a rollercoaster pinch them.

Sue Smith: Injuries massively hindered them past twelvemonth but you consciousness different twelvemonth nether Ange Postecoglou and they will footwear on. Dominic Solanke is simply a superb buy.

Chris Waddle: I americium not judge astir Tottenham. They needed Solanke but it is difficult to judge them disconnected pre-season, because they were without a fewer regulars. Instead Ange has been utilizing immoderate young players who person travel done nan academy. One of them, Mikey Moore, looks for illustration he will beryllium portion of nan first-team image this play which is simply a bully thing, but I do deliberation nan squad is simply a small spot bare.

Danny Murphy: I'd ideate location are much signings coming in, and Ange has had different pre-season to tweak really he wants them to play.

Michael Brown: Their rumor is are they bully capable defensively?

Jermaine Jenas: I person gone pinch Spurs but Ange will person to benignant retired nan business astatine nan back. I watched them nan different time against Bayern Munich and they conceded 2 goals again astatine nan backmost station - really galore much times does it person to happen?

Paul Robinson: Solanke is nan number 9 they person been missing, but astatine £65m they person overpaid for personification who has had 1 bully play successful nan Premier League. He sewage 19 goals past season, but his champion full successful nan apical formation earlier past was six. Still, he has sewage a bully motor and tin property from nan beforehand and I deliberation he will fresh into nan measurement that Ange wants to play.

Chris Sutton: I americium going pinch 'Ange-ball' to get 4th place! I cognize location were a fewer doubters astatine nan extremity of past play and I really met a Spurs instrumentality connected nan level connected my measurement location from vacation who said he felt Postecoglou needed to beryllium a spot much pragmatic, but that is not nan measurement he useful - he will double down pinch his attacking style.

Manchester United - 'They will still driblet points wherever they shouldn't'

Media caption,

Manchester United: I americium present for nan task and to triumph trophies - 10 Hag

Last season, 23/27 pundits thought they would make nan Champions League places and 12 thought they would decorativeness astatine slightest 3rd - they ended up coming eighth. This time, only 6/30 person picked them to decorativeness successful nan apical four.

Steve Sidwell: United are a large outcry for 2nd but they could astonishment a fewer people. At times it was a difficult watch nether Erik 10 Hag past play but I consciousness this squad has grown, and pinch immoderate shrewd signings for illustration Matthijs de Ligt it propels them higher. Watch retired for 20-year-old midfielder Toby Collyer - if fixed a chance he could beryllium a sparkling prima conscionable for illustration Kobbie Mainoo.

Karen Bardsley: Inconsistent past play and already plagued by injury, United are rebuilding. They person made immoderate value signings complete nan summertime truthful expect to spot immoderate improvements, but they will still driblet points wherever they shouldn't.

Chris Sutton: I respect United for sticking pinch Ten Hag, whether it was portion of nan semipermanent scheme aliases not. In truth, though, it is going to beryllium difficult for them to make nan apical four. He has won 2 trophies successful 2 years but let's not kid ourselves that they are nan United of aged - they were thumped by Crystal Palace towards nan extremity of past play and had immoderate embarrassing results, truthful location is tons to amended connected for them to moreover get adjacent to nan apical four.

Stephen Warnock: I don't spot an betterment happening nether Ten Hag. I don't understand nan ownership exemplary because they wanted to alteration things and bring successful a caller measurement of signing players yet, pinch De Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui, they person signed 2 much who person antecedently worked nether him astatine Ajax.

Matt Upson: It is going to beryllium absorbing to spot really they statement up astatine nan back. I americium not wholly convinced by De Ligt, because I don't deliberation he is nan astir mobile. He mightiness measurement up and do really well, but I americium not judge if he is nan benignant of centre-back they need.

Danny Murphy: United are going return a spot of clip to furniture successful because of injuries to players for illustration Leny Yoro, Luke Shaw and Rasmus Hojlund. It intends Ten Hag won't beryllium capable to commencement moving retired this jigsaw puzzle he is trying to put together. It will astir apt costs them a fewer points early on, though I do deliberation they will get better.

Troy Deeney: I really deliberation they person made a correction keeping Ten Hag. I don't deliberation they wanted to, but I don't deliberation anyone other blew them distant truthful they thought 'better nan devil you know'.

Joe Hart: The truth that they person backed Ten Hag now and fixed him immoderate powerfulness is simply a existent positive, and I liked it erstwhile I heard Andre Onana opportunity that they are going to beryllium taking much risks. That makes maine consciousness they are really going to play nan measurement that Ten Hag wants to play, acold much than they person successful nan past, and it looks for illustration he is bringing successful a batch of group that he knows and trusts from his Ajax days, erstwhile he had a batch of success.

Media caption,

Newcastle United: Eddie Howe says his committedness to nine is 'unwavering'

Five pundits backed Newcastle to make nan apical 4 past season, but they vanished seventh. This time, 7 pundits deliberation they will make it and 2 person them down to decorativeness third.

Anita Asante: They showed tons of committedness past play contempt each nan injuries they had and are judge to person a large rebound this play pinch Alexander Isak starring nan beforehand line. With a patient squad and nary European shot this time, they are beardown contenders for nan apical four.

Leon Osman: Newcastle are my extracurricular bet. They tin attraction connected nan Premier League and cannot perchance person nan bad luck connected nan wounded beforehand they did past season, but Isak is key.

Chris Waddle: They still request different centre-half, which is why they are successful for Marc Guehi, but going guardant they look very good. I don't deliberation they will rather make nan apical four, but if they support clasp of their stars past they are going to beryllium close.

Pat Nevin: Newcastle don't person nan accent of nan Champions League and, arsenic agelong arsenic head Eddie Howe stays successful place, they person sewage a chance.

Michael Brown: They should do amended pinch little games to play, but I consciousness for illustration they person mislaid their momentum.

Chelsea - 'The squad everyone has to watch retired for'

Media caption,

Chelsea: 'We are trying to activity on' number of goals conceded - Maresca

Only 3/27 pundits picked Chelsea to make nan apical 4 past season, and they vanished sixth. This time, 7/30 are backing them.

Pat Nevin: It is simply a complete conjecture but I americium going to beryllium chaotic and opportunity Chelsea will sneak in, successful 4th place. If you return past play arsenic a whole, it could beryllium thing again this time. But if you look astatine nan past fewer games, past they looked good - they will beryllium good, even.

Steve Sidwell: Chelsea had a coagulated extremity to past play and pinch their existent exemplary successful buying nan champion young talent retired location they’ll beryllium hoping this harvest person gained capable acquisition and assurance to push to different level. Cole Palmer will beryllium different main attraction which they’ll request to build around, but defensively they are still a worry.

Chris Waddle: For maine they are nan squad who everyone has sewage to watch retired for. The number of ins and outs they person had is unbelievable, but they person sewage nan value to make nan apical four. Let's spot if nan caller manager, Enzo Maresca, has sewage nan beingness and nan expertise to make these players much consistent. If he tin do that, location is nary logic why they won't make nan apical four.

Danny Murphy: I conscionable haven't sewage a hint really Maresca is going to put together a balanced squad pinch each nan players Chelsea person got. They will people tons of goals, but pinch excessively galore forwards successful a squad you are going to beryllium susceptible - I still deliberation that without Thiago Silva astatine nan back, irrespective of who plays past they are lacking leadership.

Jermaine Jenas: I don't cognize what is going to happen. A caller head and loads of caller players again. It could click, but it could beryllium a nightmare.

Matt Upson: Chelsea are my wildcard. I conscionable person a sneaky emotion that Maresca is going to beryllium rather harmonious successful really he fits in. I could beryllium wrong, but I conscionable consciousness for illustration he's a coach, and to usability astatine that nine you request to beryllium a head who is conscionable a coach.

Pat Nevin: With nan players they person got, Chelsea are decidedly tin of nan apical six again, but for nan money they person spent, it should beryllium a batch much than that. You will ne'er perceive it from nan nine itself that they person to make nan apical 4 this time, but erstwhile this methodology of spending started, I thought to myself 'I get it, I americium giving you 2 years to get it right'.

Well, nan 2 years are up and if it does not hap now, past what next? It is OK saying it will return different 2 years, and successful nan semipermanent it mightiness beryllium good - but successful nan semipermanent we are each dead!

Aston Villa - 'It will beryllium difficult for them to support their level'

Image source, PA

Image caption,

Emery took Spanish broadside Villarreal to nan Champions League semi-finals successful nan 2021-22 season

Only 2 pundits picked Villa successful their apical 4 past play - Ellen White and Stephen Warnock - and they vanished fourth. This time, Warnock and Rachel Brown-Finnis are nan only 2 who deliberation they will enactment there.

Troy Deeney: I said done gritted teeth that Unai Emery was my head of nan twelvemonth past play but I deliberation Villa person sewage worse by losing Douglas Luiz. They person brought successful Amadou Onana, who is simply a existent powerhouse, but I americium not judge he is simply a footballer successful nan measurement they play. The biggest logic they won't make nan apical 4 though, is because they person sewage Champions League shot this season. I deliberation they will decorativeness sixth aliases seventh.

Chris Sutton: It will beryllium difficult for them to support their level. Emery did a superb occupation and his teams are truthful good structured. They besides person that belief and a awesome support. They will beryllium successful contention but I don't deliberation they will enactment successful nan apical four.

Stephen Warnock: The unit is connected aft I sewage nan apical 4 spot connected past season, but I americium going pinch Villa to decorativeness 4th again, because they person strengthened really good complete nan summer. We talked past twelvemonth astir Newcastle not being capable to grip Champions League football, but Eddie Howe was caller to it.

Emery is not caller to it, he has done it each before, and managed squads successful aggregate competitions. Let's beryllium honest, he did it past clip contempt having a batch of injuries astatine nan extremity of nan season.

West Ham - 'Genuine excitement, and for bully reason'

Media caption,

I'm not judge Julen Lopetegui is an upgrade connected David Moyes astatine West Ham, says Matthew Upson

No-one thought West Ham would decorativeness successful nan apical 4 past twelvemonth - and they vanished ninth. This time, 1 pundit (Ellen White) thinks they will make it.

Ellen White: There is genuine excitement astir West Ham, and for bully reason. They person made truthful galore bully signings and if they tin gel, they could push them correct up nan league. It would beryllium chaotic if they made nan apical 4 because it is simply a large jump, but I consciousness for illustration they tin do it. They were disappointed pinch ninth past play but they were successful bully style anyway, and they don't person European shot either.

Chris Waddle: I didn't work together pinch David Moyes leaving but nan fans person sewage nan caller head they wanted and nan nine person backed Julen Lopetegui pinch immoderate fantabulous buys. They are having a existent bully spell astatine it. I don't spot them making nan apical four, but they could make 5th aliases sixth.

Jermaine Beckford: I for illustration nan thought of them creeping into a Europa League spot. This is by acold their champion transportation model since they signed Javier Mascherano and Carlos Tevez successful 2006. They person done their activity bully and early arsenic well, which for maine is key.

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