Will England make it? Sutton's semi-final predictions

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Sutton's predictions

Chris Bevan

BBC Sport Journalist successful Berlin

The finishing statement is successful sight, but which of nan 4 teams near successful Euro 2024 will make it to nan last successful Berlin connected 14 July?

Like England's punishment takers against Switzerland, BBC Sport shot master Chris Sutton did not put a ft incorrect pinch his predictions for nan quarter-finals, getting each 4 results correct.

The mostly of you were spot connected each clip excessively - although, retired of much than 160,000 votes, only 57% of you thought England would hit nan Swiss, nan lowest proportionality of nan teams you correctly backed.

Still, that intends for illustration Sutton you person a occurrence complaint of 54% overall, aft getting a full of 26 predictions correct from nan 48 games played successful Germany truthful far.

Can you get nan amended of him successful nan semi-finals? You tin make your predictions beneath for France - Sutton's pre-tournament prime to triumph nan European Championship - versus Spain and England against nan Netherlands.

SEMI-FINALS

TUESDAY, 9 JULY

Spain v France

Munich, 20:00 BST

I'm successful a spot of a pickle here, because earlier a shot was kicked I went for France to triumph Euro 2024.

Plus, I americium astatine Allianz Arena for Radio 5 Live, truthful I cannot adjacent my curtains and dress Didier Deschamps' broadside are not playing.

Didier is an aged friend of excavation because we joined Chelsea astatine nan aforesaid clip successful 1999 and stayed successful nan aforesaid hotel. We utilized to play cards together, arsenic a pair, and he was ever rather cautious then... but thing compared to really he has sewage his squad playing now.

When I deliberation of nan France shot team, I deliberation of flair and flamboyance, starting pinch Michel Platini's broadside that won nan 1984 European Championship. Their sides that person won awesome honours successful nan years since past person been nan same.

This type of Les Bleus, though, has been utter dross to watch.

Defensively, they person been excellent. As a centre-half pairing, William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano person been perfectly outstanding and Mike Maignan has been superb successful extremity too.

Attack-wise though, I was conscionable shocked by their level of capacity against Portugal. Ousmane Dembele came connected and made a difference, but Kylian Mbappe has not sewage going astatine all.

Media caption,

Highlights: Spain 2-1 Germany

In contrast, Spain person been nan squad of nan tournament. Their quarter-final triumph complete Germany took a small while to get going, but it was superb erstwhile it did.

Spain are doing it a very different measurement to France, and England too, and they person been very awesome successful everything they person done - different than possibly not being ruthless capable astatine times.

Their head Luis de la Fuente will person to make changes for this game, because Robin le Normand and Dani Carvajal are some suspended, while Pedri will miss nan remainder of nan tourney pinch a knee injury.

If I was being logical astir this, I would still opportunity Spain will triumph - Lamine Yamal is truthful exciting, Nico Williams has arguably been nan subordinate of nan tournament, and Rodri and Fabian Ruiz tally things successful nan mediate of nan transportation - but I conscionable person a emotion that France will get through.

Of people Mbappe could play for illustration nan superstar he is, aliases Dembele could origin Marc Cucurella problems if he starts... but it is much apt that France will conscionable smother Spain and, moreover if they do not play well, get nan occupation done.

Sutton's prediction: 2-1

WEDNESDAY, 10 JULY

Netherlands v England

Dortmund, 20:00 BST

Wout Weghorst's physicality made nan quality for nan Dutch against Turkey aft he came connected astatine half-time erstwhile they were 1-0 down.

England head Gareth Southgate has been accused of not being decisive capable pinch his substitutions, but Ronald Koeman sewage it correct for nan Netherlands there.

Rather than trying to beryllium intricate and playing done Turkey, they sewage nan shot wide, crossed it successful and Weghorst was a monolithic threat.

I do not needfully deliberation he will commencement against England, but they will person him arsenic an action connected nan chair if they request him.

It is not conscionable Weghorst that England person to watch retired for though, because Cody Gakpo will beryllium vulnerable too.

Gakpo astir apt has not delivered nan shape we expected from him for Liverpool, but he has had his moments. For nan Netherlands, though, he has been their champion subordinate astatine this tournament.

Media caption,

Highlights: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey

There is nan anticipation that, for illustration England against Switzerland, nan Netherlands will move to playing pinch 3 astatine nan backmost for this game. Koeman often does that erstwhile he faces stronger teams.

If nan teams do lucifer up pinch nan aforesaid formation, I deliberation England person a amended midfield than nan Dutch duo of Jerdy Schouten and Tijjani Reijnders.

The problem is that, successful an attacking capacity, England conscionable person not turned up yet.

They person relied connected immoderate large moments truthful far, but nan equalisers Jude Bellingham and Bukayo Saka scored against Slovakia and Switzerland were some pinch their team's first changeable connected target of nan game.

So, really do you telephone this? I don't deliberation thing is going to drastically alteration successful nan measurement England play - they are not going to abruptly find immoderate astonishing patterns of play that break nan Netherlands down.

Instead, if England are going to scope their 2nd successive Euros final, they are going to person to trust connected individual brilliance again.

I person not conscionable been blindly backing them to get done each knockout information successful Germany but they are decidedly connected nan much gentle broadside of nan draw.

This is their toughest crippled yet, and it is going to beryllium very close, but I do deliberation England will separator it... somehow.

Sutton's prediction: 1-2

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